Football unites fans across the globe, yet it can also create confusion, particularly when navigating the intricate calculations behind the new 48-team tournament structure. The challenge of narrowing the field to 32 for the knockout stage is significant, as exemplified by the 495 potential scenarios that dictate which teams advance through the top third-place finishes.
However, one certainty exists: Mauricio Pochettino’s team will face Bosnia and Herzegovina in the round of 32. Regardless of the tournament setup, debates about the team’s prospects are already underway, with the potential for American triumphs assessed through one of Pochettino’s favored motivational phrases.
The US’s Potential Path to the Final
Round of 32
Opponent: Bosnia and Herzegovina (July 1, 8 PM ET, Santa Clara)
Among a lineup rich with experienced players, striker Edin Džeko remains a standout at age 40, while 22-year-old winger Kerim Alajbegović has emerged as a rising star, recently netting a goal in the 3-1 win against Qatar that secured Bosnia and Herzegovina’s historic advancement to the knockout rounds. The US must strive to avoid penalty shootouts, considering their opponents’ success in past matches against Wales and Italy. Despite Bosnia’s physical style and newfound pressure-free approach, the Americans showcase superior individual talent and a more unified playing style. Imagine a scenario where the hosts seize control early, while Bosnia’s best opportunity may hinge on a robust defense and a chance from a set piece.
Why not us? US chances of victory rating: 7/10
Round of 16
Predicted Opponent: Belgium (July 6, 8 PM ET, Seattle)
Belgium seems to be experiencing a downturn, a once-elite team that has missed its opportunities for success in recent tournaments. Their recent 5-1 victory over New Zealand propelled Rudi Garcia’s squad to the top of Group G, yet this result raises concerns about their reliability, especially following disappointing draws against Egypt and Iraq. While the US should remain vigilant, they need not be overly daunted. This matchup evokes a painful memory for the US men’s national team, particularly the 2-1 extra-time loss to Belgium in the last 16 of the 2014 World Cup, when Kevin De Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku scored. A more recent 5-2 friendly defeat against Belgium highlights the hurdles that lie ahead, but it also provided crucial insights for Pochettino’s squad. If they must confront a top-10 nation at this juncture, Belgium might be the most advantageous opponent, and a win could significantly bolster their confidence.
Why not us? rating: 6/10
Quarter-finals
Predicted Opponent: Spain (July 10, 3 PM ET, Los Angeles)
As the current European champions and tournament favorites, Spain is anticipated to be a formidable rival. However, their dependency on 18-year-old Lamine Yamal for creativity could prove to be a double-edged sword. Dominating possession does not always ensure scoring, as evidenced by their goalless draw against Cape Verde. Their recent 1-0 win over Uruguay was also not particularly convincing. The Americans may thrive as significant underdogs on home soil, buoyed by enthusiastic support and minimal pressure. While Spain has improved since their penalty shootout loss to Morocco in the last 16 of the previous World Cup, a subpar performance from them combined with an exceptional showing from the US could lead to an upset. Achieving this would likely necessitate the US demonstrating the tactical discipline and defensive solidity they have yet to consistently exhibit.
Why not us? rating: 3/10
Semi-finals
Predicted Opponent: France (July 14, 3 PM ET, Dallas)
Didier Deschamps’ squad was the standout team during the group stage, displaying a combination of attacking prowess and depth, though occasionally hindered by lax defending—as highlighted when Norway scored shortly after France established a 2-0 lead in their recent encounter. Although Les Bleus ultimately won 4-1, the US team is more dynamic than Norway’s reserve lineup. A fully fit Christian Pulisic and Folarin Balogun could undoubtedly challenge the French defense, especially if allowed to attack in the same manner they did against Paraguay. Pochettino often states, “When people believe in each other, impossible dreams become possible,” a sentiment that resonates profoundly. However, if France reaches this stage, they will likely have defeated strong teams such as Germany and the Netherlands, indicating a solid defense. Should the match evolve into an open affair, a significant defeat to France could loom large.
Why not us? rating: 2/10
Final
Predicted Opponent: England (July 19, 3 PM ET, New York-New Jersey)
This historic matchup is set to unfold during a month celebrating the core values of the United States—dreaming big, hard work, and determination. This World Cup has truly delivered on all fronts. A US-England final in New York, or more accurately New Jersey, would create a spectacle like no other, reminiscent of UFC events on the White House lawn. Additionally, it would serve as a form of redemption for the nation following the cancellation of the Vanilla Ice concert on the National Mall. If England fails to win their group, this could lead to a quarter-final clash. Regardless of when it occurs, the US, under the guidance of a former Premier League manager and featuring players well-acquainted with England’s style, possesses an advantage in experience. Their spirit, burgeoning confidence, and home ground support could help mitigate any skill deficiencies.
Should the US reach this stage, it would signify something extraordinary, potentially leading them to lift the trophy—a prize that could find its place alongside the FIFA Peace Prize and other prestigious honors in the Oval Office.
Why not us? rating: 10/10
- USA
- US sports
- World Cup 2026
- World Cup
- features
